18 Oct 2026
UK Casino Operators Flag Risks from Proposed Machine Games Duty Increase

Leading UK casino operators have delivered direct warnings about a possible doubling of Machine Games Duty from 20% to 40% that appears under consideration for the autumn Budget scheduled for 28 October and these statements highlight threats to planned investments along with risks of venue closures and job reductions even while the sector prepares for 2025 land-based modernisation measures that permit additional slot machines in venues.
Genting Casinos chief operating officer Paul Willcock joined other executives in outlining how such a tax rise would alter business calculations across multiple sites and the comments arrive after Rank Group completed several closures while the wider industry continues to absorb effects from the earlier remote gaming duty increase.
Details of the Proposed Duty Change
The Machine Games Duty adjustment under discussion would lift the rate from its current 20% level to 40% and operators note that this shift would apply to gaming machines situated in land-based casinos across the United Kingdom with executives stating that the change would compress margins to a point where further capital commitments become difficult to justify.
Industry figures indicate that the higher rate would coincide with ongoing operational costs and the timing places additional pressure on operators who already navigate post-pandemic recovery alongside regulatory updates and Paul Willcock has emphasised that investment plans currently in development could face delays or outright cancellation if the duty reaches the proposed level.
Potential Impacts on Operations and Employment
Venue closures represent one outcome flagged by the operators because reduced profitability after the duty increase would leave some locations unable to cover fixed expenses and job losses would follow directly from any such shutdowns with hundreds of roles potentially affected across regions that host multiple Genting and Rank properties.
Those who have reviewed the figures note that the tax pressure builds on recent closures already executed by Rank Group and the combined effect could accelerate consolidation within the land-based sector while the remote gaming duty rise implemented earlier continues to influence overall group performance for companies that operate both online and physical sites.
Context of 2025 Modernisation Reforms
The warnings emerge against the backdrop of 2025 land-based modernisation reforms that grant casinos permission to install greater numbers of slot machines and these changes were designed to support growth in physical venues yet operators observe that the benefit of extra machines could be offset if Machine Games Duty doubles because the additional revenue from new terminals would face the higher tax rate immediately upon installation.
Executives have pointed out that the reforms and the proposed duty adjustment operate on conflicting trajectories with one measure expanding capacity while the other increases the fiscal burden on each machine and this tension leaves planning teams uncertain about projected returns from the modernisation programme.

Industry Response and Survey Insights
A survey conducted among 23 operators supplied the data behind the current warnings and respondents consistently identified the Machine Games Duty rise as a primary concern that would constrain expansion while accelerating decisions around site rationalisation and the collective view from these companies underscores that the tax environment following the remote gaming duty adjustment already strains resources available for reinvestment.
Paul Willcock and peers have framed the issue as one that requires clarity ahead of the 28 October Budget date so that operators can adjust forecasts accordingly and the statements stop short of demanding specific policy outcomes yet they supply concrete examples of how investment pipelines and staffing levels would change under the doubled rate.
Broader Tax Environment Considerations
The remote gaming duty increase that preceded the current discussion established a pattern of rising fiscal demands on gambling businesses and land-based operators now see the Machine Games Duty proposal as the next step in that sequence with cumulative effects that reach beyond individual companies to affect supply chains and local economies tied to casino employment.
Observers tracking the sector record that closures already enacted by Rank Group illustrate the practical consequences when margins tighten and further duty pressure would likely extend that pattern to additional operators who maintain portfolios of high-street and leisure-park venues.
Conclusion
The statements issued by Genting Casinos and aligned operators present a unified assessment that a rise in Machine Games Duty to 40% would reshape operational decisions across the UK land-based casino market and the 28 October Budget remains the focal point where any such adjustment would be confirmed or set aside while the 2025 modernisation reforms continue their implementation path. Data from the operator survey and direct comments from executives such as Paul Willcock supply the factual basis for these projections and the industry continues to monitor fiscal announcements that intersect with both recent closures and ongoing regulatory developments.